Impela uzwile noma wayibona imuvi mayelana umphumela wevemvane. Lo mphumela uza ngesaga saseChina esisho okulandelayo: "ukushaywa kwamaphiko uvemvane kungazwakala ngakolunye uhlangothi lomhlaba." Lokhu kusho ukuthi noma imininingwane emincane ingaholela kweminye imiphumela ehluke ngokuphelele. Noma yini esiyenzayo ingaba nomphumela omkhulu wesikhathi eside ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Lokhu kungacaciswa kokubili ezingeni lemvelo nasezingeni lezenzo zomuntu nezenzo zethu zomuntu siqu.
Kulesi sihloko sizokutshela ukuthi uyini umphumela wevemvane nokuthi yiziphi izici zayo eziyinhloko.
Uyini umphumela wovemvane
Umphumela wovemvane uxhunyaniswe nombono wesiphithiphithi. Lo mbono uthi ukuphephuka kwesinambuzane eHong Kong kungadala isiphepho sonke eNew York. Kuwuhlelo olunganqunyelwe olunezinguquko ezincane ezingaholela emiphumeleni ehluke ngokuphelele. Ekuqaleni, iqala ngokuphazamiseka okuncane. Ngenqubo yokukhulisa, lokhu kuphazamiseka okuncane kungaba nomthelela omkhulu esikhathini esifushane nesimaphakathi.
Ukuhamba okungahambisani kahle kwezinkanyezi, ukuhamba kweplankton ezilwandle, ukubambezeleka kwezindiza, ukuvumelanisa kwama-neurons, njll. Zonke lezi zinhlelo ezixakile noma ezinamandla ezingekho emgqeni zingadala imiphumela ehlukile esikhathini esifushane noma esimaphakathi. Umbono wesiphithiphithi nomphumela wovemvane uchaza ukuthi into eyinkimbinkimbi njengendawo yonke ayinakulindeleka nakancane. Umkhathi uhlelo oluguquguqukayo lwesiphithiphithi. Chaos theory ichaza ukuthi umkhathi ngezimo ze Isimo sezulu sivimbela ukubikezela lapho isimo sezulu esithembekile singaphezu kwezinsuku ezintathu. Lokhu kuhlobene nomthelela we- ukushintsha kwesimo sezulu esimweni sezulu somhlaba futhi kungabonakala ezifundweni eziqinisekisa i imiphumela yokushintsha kwesimo sezulu ezimila nezilwane zaseYurophu.
Umphumela wovemvane usetshenziselwa ukubhekana nezifundo ezenzakalweni zomphakathi okunzima ukuzixazulula ngokwezibangela ezihambisanayo nobudlelwano bomphumela. Kungashiwo ukuthi izinto ezincane zingaba nomthelela omkhulu ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Uma sikuthatha ngokwezinga lomuntu siqu, siyabona ukuthi ukufakwa kwemikhuba eminingi empilweni yethu kungadala eminye imiphumela.
Izindawo zomphumela uvemvane
Umphumela wevemvane ungasetshenziswa ezindaweni eziningi. Kungasebenza njengesisekelo esiyinhloko emibhalweni ehlukahlukene yezincwadi noma kube yingxenye yemibono ehambisanayo kanye nezingqinamba zesayensi eziphikisanayo nezithandwayo ezinjengethiyori yenxushunxushu. Futhi ukuthi umphumela wovemvane ugcina uphawu olungasetshenziswa kumaqiniso ahlukahlukene.
Njengoba kunikezwe ukuthi isenzo esithile noma isimo esingaholela ochungechungeni lwezimo ezilandelanayo noma izenzo ezigcina zidale umphumela omkhulu lokho kubonakala kungahambisani nesimo sento eyiqalile. Njengoba kunikezwe ukuthi uma kuhlaziywa imbangela yokuqala nomphumela wokugcina, kungahle kungabi nokuhlangana okuningi phakathi kwabo. Kodwa-ke, isenzo esincane sokuqala yiso esiqale ukudala eminye imiphumela emincane kepha esibe nomthelela wokuqongelela ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Le yindlela umphumela ngemuva komphumela ofinyelele ngayo kumphumela wokugcina.
Umqondo womphumela wevemvane waqala ngokuhlangenwe nakho kwesazi sezulu u-Edward Lorenz. Lesi sazi sesimo sezulu saqamba igama elithi butterfly effect ngo-1973 ngenxa yokungakwazi ukwenza izibikezelo zezulu ezithembeke ngokuphelele zesikhathi eside. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi isenzo sokuguquguquka okuhlukahlukene okukwazi ukuguqula ukuziphatha komkhathi kunqwabelana esimweni sezulu. Ukuze ukuqonde kangcono lokhu, kuyathakazelisa ukufunda indlela ukushintsha kwesimo sezulu kuthinta izilwane zasendle.
Uma sikhuluma ngohlelo lwe-atmospheric kanye nokwenzeka kwezulu, okuguquguqukayo okuningi kufanele kuhlaziywe. Okuguquguqukayo okunenani elincike kokunye okuguquguqukayo okukhulunywa ngakho. Ngokwesibonelo, izinga lokushisa endaweni liyoxhomeka ekuthambekeni kwemisebe yelanga evela emkhathini. Lokhu, kuncike esikhathini lapho iplanethi yethu inyakaza ngokuphathelene nokujikeleza kwelanga. Ngakho-ke, amazinga okushisa awancikile kuphela kulokho esikushilo, kodwa nakwezinye izinto eziguquguqukayo ezifana nesenzo somoya, inani lamagesi abamba ukushisa emkhathini, umswakama ohlobene, njll.
Njengoba okuguquguqukayo ngakunye kunokuncika okuqondile noma okungaqondile kwezinye izinto eziguquguqukayo, kwakheka uhlobo lwesiphithiphithi okunzima kakhulu ukulibikezela ngemva kwesikhathi esithile.
Umbono wesiphithiphithi
Konke lokhu kusichazela ukuthi i-chaos theory ikhona kumphumela we-butterfly. Futhi lokhu kusitshela ukuthi izinguquko ezibonakala zilula futhi ezingenangozi kokuguquguqukayo, isenzo esithile, zingaba nemiphumela emikhulu. Inguquko yokuqala noma isenzo sokuqala yileso Idala inqubo eyenza konke okunye okuguqukayo kusabalalise imiphumela kuze kufinyelelwe umphumela wokugcina. Le nqubo ithola amandla amaningi ngokwengeziwe.
Injalo ke isiphithiphithi esiwumsuka wesisho esithandwayo sokuthi ukubhakuzisa amaphiko ovemvane eHong Kong kungabangela isiphepho eNew York. Lokhu kusho ukuthi ukuguqulwa okuncane enqubweni efanayo kungaholela emiphumeleni ehluke kakhulu futhi engalindelekile nhlobo. Umthelela uvemvane uvame ukubonakala njengesingathekiso noma isifaniso esisetshenziswa njengenye yezinsika zethiyori yesiphithiphithi. I-Chaos theory nayo yasungulwa ngu-Edward Lorenz. Ngokwalesi sazi sesimo sezulu, kunezimiso endaweni yonke ezizwela kakhulu ukuba khona kokuhlukahluka. Konke lokhu kuhlukahluka kungaholela ekuhlukeni kakhulu, nakuba kunqunyelwe, kubangele indlela enesiphithiphithi futhi engalindelekile.
Imodeli eyinhloko yethiyori yesiphithiphithi iphakamisa ukuthi lapho ubhekene nemihlaba emibili efanayo noma izimo lapho kukhona okukodwa kuphela, okungasho lutho, okuguquguqukayo okuhlukanisayo, ngokuhamba kwesikhathi nenqubekela phambili kungase kuvele omunye umehluko ozokwenza imihlaba ihluke kakhulu komunye nomunye. Okungukuthi, ake sinikeze isibonelo esilula. Sibeka amaplanethi oMhlaba amabili anezimo ezifanayo kusukela ekudalweni kwawo, kodwa sinikeza eyodwa izinga lokushisa eliphakeme kancane eliphakathi nendawo. Nakuba kuwukuguquguquka okuncane, iqiniso lokuthi iplanethi eyodwa inamadigri ambalwa aphezulu izinga lokushisa elivamile kunelinye linganquma ukuthi, phakathi nezinkulungwane zeminyaka, ukuphila kungathuthuka ngendlela ehlukile.
Ngiyethemba ukuthi ngalolu lwazi ungafunda kabanzi ngomphumela wovemvane wezici zawo.